BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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South Florida

Class: 1 Class Rank: 106 Overall: (19-14) Overall Strength =   37.51
Conference: American Athletic Record: (10-2) | District: 1-02 Record: (19-9)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Home    W    39.49  76  61    1 195 ( 17- 16) UT Arlington            1.99     13.01                      
  2 11-10-2023 Home    W    31.86  67  55    1 244 ( 17- 15) Stetson                -5.65     17.65                      
  3 11-13-2023 Home    W    47.34  83  57    1 230 ( 23- 10) Grambling               9.84     16.16                      
  4 11-16-2023 Away    L    25.82  41  70    1  31 ( 24- 10) Alabama               -11.68    -17.32                      
  5 11-19-2023 Home    W    16.40  56  55    1 291 (  9- 21) North Florida         -21.11     22.11                      
  6 11-23-2023 Neutral W    48.35  61  32    1 273 ( 20- 12) High Point             10.85     18.15                      
  7 11-24-2023 Neutral L    20.86  49  66    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St            -16.64     -0.36                      
  8 11-25-2023 Neutral L    34.55  44  76    1   4 ( 33-  5) Texas                  -2.95 *  -29.05                      
  9 11-30-2023 Home    W    57.93  81  35    1 323 ( 11- 19) Charleston So          20.43     25.57                      
 10 12-10-2023 Home    W    35.43 105  75    1 353 (  6- 24) Gardner Webb           -2.08 *   32.08                      
 11 12-16-2023 Home    L    45.84  54  66    1  10 ( 31-  7) NC State                8.33    -20.33                      
 12 12-20-2023 Neutral W    54.66  85  49    1 280 (  7- 23) IUPUI                  17.15     18.85                      
 13 12-21-2023 Neutral L    35.43  50  73    1  15 ( 26-  8) Baylor                 -2.08    -20.92                      
 14 12-30-2023 Home    W *  41.51  70  61    1 123 ( 14- 16) SMU                     4.01      4.99                      
 15 01-03-2024 Home    L    26.97  61  66 1  1 126 ( 16- 15) Charlotte             -10.54      5.54                      
 16 01-06-2024 Away    W *  41.60  70  63    1 147 ( 12- 20) Tulane                  4.09      2.91                      
 17 01-10-2024 Home    W *  51.55  68  52    1  99 ( 25- 10) Tulsa                  14.05      1.95                      
 18 01-14-2024 Away    L    38.68  64  67    1  96 ( 19- 15) Rice                    1.18     -4.18                      
 19 01-16-2024 Away    L    14.01  42  65    1 130 ( 18- 15) Texas-San Antonio     -23.50      0.50                      
 20 01-20-2024 Home    L    33.89  61  65    1  83 ( 23-  9) North Texas            -3.62     -0.38                      
 21 01-28-2024 Home    W *  48.60  54  40    1 108 ( 19- 14) East Carolina          11.10      2.90                      
 22 02-01-2024 Away    W *  61.04  69  46    1 118 ( 13- 17) Memphis                23.54     -0.54                      
 23 02-03-2024 Away    W    36.68  72  69    1 157 ( 18- 14) Alabama-Birmingham     -0.83      3.83                      
 24 02-07-2024 Home    L    26.39  59  69    1  96 ( 19- 15) Rice                  -11.11      1.11                      
 25 02-10-2024 Away    L *  38.26  55  59    1  91 ( 20- 12) Temple                  0.75     -4.75                      
 26 02-13-2024 Home    W *  46.40  79  57    1 199 ( 10- 22) Wichita St              8.89     13.11                      
 27 02-17-2024 Home    L    11.88  55  67    1 208 ( 11- 19) Florida Atlantic      -25.62     13.62                      
 28 02-21-2024 Away    W *  49.90  78  68    1 108 ( 19- 14) East Carolina          12.39     -2.39                      
 29 02-25-2024 Away    L *  33.85  65  72    1  99 ( 25- 10) Tulsa                  -3.66     -3.34                      
 30 03-02-2024 Home    W *  31.30  53  51    1 147 ( 12- 20) Tulane                 -6.20      8.20                      
 31 03-05-2024 Away    W *  44.81  68  61 1  1 123 ( 14- 16) SMU                     7.30     -0.30                      
 32 03-10-2024 Neutral W *  34.04  69  62    1 199 ( 10- 22) Wichita St             -3.46     10.46                      
 33 03-11-2024 Neutral L    32.36  56  58    1 130 ( 18- 15) Texas-San Antonio      -5.15      3.15                      
      Averages              37.51  64.2 60.2

Best game:   61.04 = 23 point win over Memphis
Worst game:  11.88 = 12 point loss to Florida Atlantic
Team stdev:  12.05